Tuesday, November 07, 2006

November Goal or Good Fortune Continues

I played quite a bit this week. (4 days off. I go by this instead of calendar week.) I played mostly on UB, 6 tabling $50NL. I pulled down close to $400 bringing my roll to $850. I ran out of time before work last week and lost my UB bonus. I need 750 points. I ended up with 630 or so. I had to leave for work and was almost late at that. Sucks getting that close. They are running the points bonus again this week and I already have over 1000 pts. They are accumulating quicker now that I have moved up stakes. Plus the 6 tabling helps. Hopefully this is a new weekly thing. I wish I would have signed up for rakeback before I started my UB account. But when I started it, there wasn’t rakeback yet. They don’t like to give existing members rakeback; only to help bring new members over. I couldn’t imagine getting rakeback, deposit bonus money, plus this new pts bonus, all at once.

I played pretty TAG. (My passive version of TAG anyways.) I am getting more aggressive in my game. I used to worry so much about putting money in the pot in position or throwing out a CB or bluff. Now I just see this as a cost of the game like the blinds. I still don’t raise PF with AQ or TT often, even with position. I have started to with TT sometimes. So my TAG game is coming along. I even fire a 2nd shell sometimes now. That’s CB’ing again on the turn after being called on the flop. I am amazed how many pots I take down with aggressive. No wonder they say aggressive poker is winning poker.

I set a goal of getting to $1000 by the end of November. I was at $500 or so when setting this short-term goal. I am happy with how it is going. So barring any bad streaks I should definitely reach my goal.

Couple hands that killed my bottomline this week: The old SOS. Set over set. Flush to higher flush. Going in on the turn with the nuts and with just the river coming, they spike one of their few possible outs. That is always good for the mood. I got Aces cracked twice. AA vs KT. I can’t believe he got all his money in with that shit. And the usual AA vs KK. Oh yea, don’t let me forget the asswhipping I took while having KK. Flop comes AAK. We end up getting all the money in and he had AA. Pretty much a hand designed to get all the money in. Not that I’m suggesting that anything is rigged in online poker – I don’t put much stake in that crap.

One last thing that I noticed this week and before. By playing 6 tables at a time I see variance on a compounded, intensified scale. This is kind’a odd seeing the swings all in one session. You can go on a bad streak and lose a group of races and endure it a little better. So instead of losing 5 sessions in a row, where you would definitely start questioning your game, you end down for 1 or 2 sessions, and fell less of the ill- effects.

OK, one more thing. Bad beats and suckouts. The reason we feel the effects of bad beats so much is because we usually go into the allin with the best hand more often than not. Being a tight player or an experienced player you usually know when you are ahead. You also don’t go for the draw as often. You put these things together and what you get is the suckout ratio is in the bad player’s favor. Basically they suckout more often than we do. It’s not a bad luck thing. It is actually a testament to our instinct, solid game, and overall poker prowess. Often players don’t see this correlation and have the misconception that the RNG (random number generator) isn’t quite so random. So though a lot of poker players are observant enough to see the lopsided suckout ratio, they just don’t see the connection. So next time you get sucked out on just feel proud that you had the skill to get your money in with the best of it.

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